Saturday, February 23, 2013

Link Between Fertility and Economic Growth?

Now we look at a correlation between the two factors to see if they have an effect on each other in each individual country.

Link:
http://www.gapminder.org/world/#$majorMode=chart$is;shi=t;ly=2003;lb=f;il=t;fs=11;al=30;stl=t;st=t;nsl=t;se=t$wst;tts=C$ts;sp=10;ti=1800$zpv;v=0$inc_x;mmid=XCOORDS;iid=0AkBd6lyS3EmpdHo5S0J6ekhVOF9QaVhod05QSGV4T3c;by=ind$inc_y;mmid=YCOORDS;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0TAlJeCEzcGQ;by=ind$inc_s;uniValue=8.21;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0XOoBL_n5tAQ;by=ind$inc_c;uniValue=255;gid=CATID0;iid=thlR4hyNMEnaVyV_uxRzjfQ;by=grp$map_x;scale=log;dataMin=55;dataMax=108111$map_y;scale=lin;dataMin=0.855;dataMax=8.7$map_s;sma=49;smi=2.65$cd;bd=0$inds=

Looking at the most recent graph of date we see that countries with higher GDP per capita generally had lower rates of children dying. This makes sense becasue the more money each person has the more medicine they can buy and the more doctors they can see.



Link 2:
http://www.gapminder.org/world/#$majorMode=chart$is;shi=t;ly=2003;lb=f;il=t;fs=11;al=30;stl=t;st=t;nsl=t;se=t$wst;tts=C$ts;sp=10;ti=2006$zpv;v=0$inc_x;mmid=XCOORDS;iid=pp59adS3CHWczfPHQMiqxCg;by=ind$inc_y;mmid=YCOORDS;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0TAlJeCEzcGQ;by=ind$inc_s;uniValue=8.21;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0XOoBL_n5tAQ;by=ind$inc_c;uniValue=255;gid=CATID0;iid=thlR4hyNMEnaVyV_uxRzjfQ;by=grp$map_x;scale=lin;dataMin=0;dataMax=30504654$map_y;scale=lin;dataMin=0.855;dataMax=8.7$map_s;sma=49;smi=2.65$cd;bd=0$inds=


When comparing children fertility to another variable, that being the number of Malaria cases said to have broken out, we  see that maybe there is another factor that plays a role in more children dying. Looking at the most recent data you see that countries with more cases of Malaria outbreaks general had a higher rate of children deaths. 

Link 3:
http://www.gapminder.org/world/#$majorMode=chart$is;shi=t;ly=2003;lb=f;il=t;fs=11;al=30;stl=t;st=t;nsl=t;se=t$wst;tts=C$ts;sp=10;ti=2006$zpv;v=0$inc_x;mmid=XCOORDS;iid=pp59adS3CHWczfPHQMiqxCg;by=ind$inc_y;mmid=YCOORDS;iid=0AkBd6lyS3EmpdHo5S0J6ekhVOF9QaVhod05QSGV4T3c;by=ind$inc_s;uniValue=8.21;iid=phAwcNAVuyj0XOoBL_n5tAQ;by=ind$inc_c;uniValue=255;gid=CATID0;iid=thlR4hyNMEnaVyV_uxRzjfQ;by=grp$map_x;scale=lin;dataMin=0;dataMax=30504654$map_y;scale=log;dataMin=55;dataMax=108111$map_s;sma=49;smi=2.65$cd;bd=0$inds=


When GDP per capita is used as the dependent variable we see that Malaria had a greater effect on a countries GDP per capita and was a more prevalent issue in the poor countries.

Final analysis:
In seems that the issue with child fertility lies within the health issues a country faces. Whether that be malaria, HIV, or cancer these diseases have a negative effect on the fertility rate of children. GDP per capita explains however,  that if a country is wealthy enough these issues can be lessened by establishing a good health care system that people in the country can afford. More money means, better health, which mean longer lives.

Thursday, February 21, 2013

Fertility and Economic Growth in Your Country

Ireland seems to be a fairly developed country. Analysis of Ireland through data:

GDP PPP ($US) :48423
Fertility Rate: 2.1
Age Distribution:

Graph of fertility rate over time:
Ireland's' decrease fertility rate means that less children are dying, which means there will be more replacements for the aging work force. This increase in population will increase overall GDP. 

Graph of GDP per capita (PPP) over time:
Since the overall GDP will increase there will be more money in circulation, allowing for wages to increase, and GDP per capite to rise as it does so on the graph. 


scatter plot of GDP per capita Vs. Fertilty Rate:
   
***This chart shows what each dot is representing. On the scatter plot the years go in order from top to bottom.

The scatter plot shows that in fact with the decrease in fertility rate, GDP per captia does increase.